Thursday, July 01, 2004
SAY IT AIN'T SO!
A group of academics is using scientific formulas to predict a Bush win.
According to a Reuters story on Yahoo, a small group of political scientists is using elaborate mathematical formulas to predict that Bush will win reelection with between 53% and 58% of the vote.
Bad news - this group predicted Bush the Elder's win in 1988, in spite of Dukakis leading in the polls, and they came within 1/10th of a percent of Clinton's actual vote in 1996.
Good news - in 2000, they predicted a Gore win with between 53% and 60% of the vote.
I say it ain't gonna happen, and these geeks will be wrong two elections in a row.
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According to a Reuters story on Yahoo, a small group of political scientists is using elaborate mathematical formulas to predict that Bush will win reelection with between 53% and 58% of the vote.
Bad news - this group predicted Bush the Elder's win in 1988, in spite of Dukakis leading in the polls, and they came within 1/10th of a percent of Clinton's actual vote in 1996.
Good news - in 2000, they predicted a Gore win with between 53% and 60% of the vote.
I say it ain't gonna happen, and these geeks will be wrong two elections in a row.
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